Michigan

From 2020-09-01 to 2020-10-21

## min_frac_dead: 8.93043575643228
## max_frac_dead: -6.09757161039023
## log_half_dead: 3.66046573691163
## log_theta_cases: 0.515272846951243
## log_theta_deaths: 1.38521851842779
## log_sigma_dw: -6.4754505383632
## E1_0: 1.92776056135011
## Ia1_0: -2.96663022296525
## Isu1_0: -0.800852364200234
## Isd1_0: 6.44215546151475
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 13.9124335358163
## max_frac_dead: -17.2601958682367
## log_half_dead: 3.73934347570023
## log_theta_cases: 0.870506359892923
## log_theta_deaths: 1.1383207517154
## log_sigma_dw: -14.4609356684947
## E1_0: 6.26120206420898
## Ia1_0: -0.412188894868051
## Isu1_0: 0.242490074274522
## Isd1_0: 1.68877213743553
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 19.7784658007294
## max_frac_dead: -17.9363199803506
## log_half_dead: 3.71720297978705
## log_theta_cases: 0.924200726933073
## log_theta_deaths: 0.901650584064475
## log_sigma_dw: -18.6130199683831
## E1_0: 6.25479544224192
## Ia1_0: -0.373437521838539
## Isu1_0: 2.00609204524611
## Isd1_0: 1.48656384556279
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 25.8520958404049
## max_frac_dead: -23.8076466775759
## log_half_dead: 3.6616431662755
## log_theta_cases: 0.823862670194479
## log_theta_deaths: 1.25943489736836
## log_sigma_dw: -30.9816634257009
## E1_0: 6.24880239133417
## Ia1_0: -1.85551427921729
## Isu1_0: 1.71125039651811
## Isd1_0: 1.59579151302809
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 25.0883153994274
## max_frac_dead: -29.0970571857731
## log_half_dead: 3.6862804605942
## log_theta_cases: 0.687929603216312
## log_theta_deaths: 1.37146372583409
## log_sigma_dw: -27.230936819242
## E1_0: 2.81623086529618
## Ia1_0: 0.830592989124997
## Isu1_0: 6.63704662693039
## Isd1_0: 2.91002608674295
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 20.3473379886073
## max_frac_dead: -33.1253275564154
## log_half_dead: 3.74666644824946
## log_theta_cases: 0.723764468801654
## log_theta_deaths: 1.31269017966267
## log_sigma_dw: -28.6370853943914
## E1_0: 6.29344322622642
## Ia1_0: -1.3993489977238
## Isu1_0: 0.965085394753552
## Isd1_0: 0.969364190516772
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 19.9397593754451
## max_frac_dead: -18.9419240002646
## log_half_dead: 3.64885201095801
## log_theta_cases: 0.774856647417882
## log_theta_deaths: 1.325770852336
## log_sigma_dw: -33.599763769271
## E1_0: 6.25332198285265
## Ia1_0: -1.21764539276355
## Isu1_0: 0.403374596138062
## Isd1_0: 1.6303146507955
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 22.8820050782407
## max_frac_dead: -19.1061543176191
## log_half_dead: 3.63615201458769
## log_theta_cases: 0.669581720688067
## log_theta_deaths: 1.24987547791295
## log_sigma_dw: -40.0014035212624
## E1_0: 6.44816729323455
## Ia1_0: 0.938292795777527
## Isu1_0: 0.855964402570311
## Isd1_0: 3.00226949512438
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 11.4240933062534
## max_frac_dead: -19.0327286318619
## log_half_dead: 3.63259972177878
## log_theta_cases: 0.59941414808973
## log_theta_deaths: 1.33109443965
## log_sigma_dw: -39.8460055554118
## E1_0: 6.28815488901492
## Ia1_0: -0.749699563390022
## Isu1_0: -0.364073598111887
## Isd1_0: 0.555062802903251
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 7.83562833373775
## max_frac_dead: -11.1034100159746
## log_half_dead: 3.7971836690295
## log_theta_cases: 0.714670792394906
## log_theta_deaths: 1.0599441667317
## log_sigma_dw: -31.3945408794364
## E1_0: 5.2880566621101
## Ia1_0: -0.434227271427746
## Isu1_0: 5.92151586880961
## Isd1_0: 3.10055985501328
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 25.193179900347
## max_frac_dead: -14.1549040886416
## log_half_dead: 3.53136595876368
## log_theta_cases: 0.540011925118856
## log_theta_deaths: 1.1551004759937
## log_sigma_dw: -31.9640017698956
## E1_0: 6.46892361590829
## Ia1_0: 2.01299225922509
## Isu1_0: -0.797999434283458
## Isd1_0: 1.33496404462747
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 13.7071402804798
## max_frac_dead: -17.1705200358721
## log_half_dead: 3.49115791005805
## log_theta_cases: 0.505407824435031
## log_theta_deaths: 1.31797707159796
## log_sigma_dw: -26.9254413023421
## E1_0: 4.83572741166492
## Ia1_0: 0.447973916786636
## Isu1_0: 6.44632981947373
## Isd1_0: 3.09089784016738
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 13.1092512157381
## max_frac_dead: -8.59879146611081
## log_half_dead: 3.732291187364
## log_theta_cases: 0.62928021607569
## log_theta_deaths: 1.14529108453421
## log_sigma_dw: -35.9385088793807
## E1_0: 6.75977093202491
## Ia1_0: -0.514128018573028
## Isu1_0: 1.40908584622702
## Isd1_0: 1.30524335591491
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 21.6504263964052
## max_frac_dead: -12.1756502414426
## log_half_dead: 3.67629557938819
## log_theta_cases: 0.525879037244318
## log_theta_deaths: 1.12079014504346
## log_sigma_dw: -30.2577680758448
## E1_0: 6.550208796895
## Ia1_0: 0.0630381150067999
## Isu1_0: 2.35253298016165
## Isd1_0: -0.30735429591927
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 18.6534728182611
## max_frac_dead: -10.0767576867952
## log_half_dead: 3.54019387798333
## log_theta_cases: 0.492888245280226
## log_theta_deaths: 1.04094969552613
## log_sigma_dw: -26.9559332873208
## E1_0: -1.14293079180226
## Ia1_0: -0.012470900231052
## Isu1_0: 6.64435226910448
## Isd1_0: 2.88646778648854
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 37.7520275252097
## max_frac_dead: -9.18311683282253
## log_half_dead: 3.54007857171996
## log_theta_cases: 0.566434813771475
## log_theta_deaths: 1.17518742312519
## log_sigma_dw: -27.5771799140672
## E1_0: 0.18332964189629
## Ia1_0: 0.446314238665035
## Isu1_0: 6.54907500852753
## Isd1_0: 3.12729304231962
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 45.2244440966037
## max_frac_dead: -29.5801870092776
## log_half_dead: 3.66791563072488
## log_theta_cases: 0.60927756341611
## log_theta_deaths: 1.245689818651
## log_sigma_dw: -37.2772311092168
## E1_0: 6.49000805255534
## Ia1_0: -0.33768521834006
## Isu1_0: -1.27637072026073
## Isd1_0: 0.526016905398141
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 39.9326369293604
## max_frac_dead: -38.6089927271023
## log_half_dead: 3.77111075475019
## log_theta_cases: 0.602185152952771
## log_theta_deaths: 1.12225340739504
## log_sigma_dw: -38.9710588822781
## E1_0: 6.41473281473008
## Ia1_0: 1.03610494750425
## Isu1_0: 0.62295262358087
## Isd1_0: -0.423809814251424
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 33.6488048257238
## max_frac_dead: -46.419816854527
## log_half_dead: 3.56794682631934
## log_theta_cases: 0.535609398653526
## log_theta_deaths: 1.13277617595613
## log_sigma_dw: -31.1708307546431
## E1_0: 6.42708084288363
## Ia1_0: -1.72513255397159
## Isu1_0: 0.497650801896135
## Isd1_0: 1.79709717917213
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 38.1481967074959
## max_frac_dead: -48.7533587973285
## log_half_dead: 3.69547943196577
## log_theta_cases: 0.536439306902401
## log_theta_deaths: 1.26955274544932
## log_sigma_dw: -43.3531518513386
## E1_0: 0.469263616295936
## Ia1_0: -0.190556395409694
## Isu1_0: 6.34063826801126
## Isd1_0: 2.56504077226441
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)

## min_frac_dead: 41.4435515472496
## max_frac_dead: -51.3940042080646
## log_half_dead: 3.54581319554078
## log_theta_cases: 0.321126928020629
## log_theta_deaths: 0.802431214818515
## log_sigma_dw: -34.6537096750721
## E1_0: 6.35969241598383
## Ia1_0: 0.0316154774451355
## Isu1_0: 0.930594117360597
## Isd1_0: 2.01838744377886
## init R0: 6 
## Warm start: last 
## MIF runs: c(150, 150)